2014 Program

Programme for the Danish Maritime Forum


Wednesday 8 October


Official Opening

09:30-10:00

Welcome address by
     – HRH Crown Prince Frederik of Denmark
     – Henrik Sass Larsen, Minister of Business and Growth, Denmark


Opening Plenary: The Future of the Global Maritime Industry

10:00-11:00

In the next 10-15 years world trade is projected to grow significantly. It is estimated that this growth will result in a doubling of seaborne trade volumes from 10 billion tons of cargo annually today to 20 billion tons of cargo around 2030. What drivers and obstacles, risks and opportunities could affect this outlook for growth? What are the implications for the maritime industry?

Opening remarks by
     – Su Bo, Vice-Minister of Industry and Information Technology, China
     – Hiroshi Muto, Vice-Minister for Transport, Tourism and International Affairs, Japan
     – Victor Olersky, Deputy Minister of Transport, Russia
     – Tuck Yew Lui, Minister of Transport, Singapore

Panelists
     – Nariman Behravesh, Chief Economist, IHS, USA
     – Gideon Rachman, Foreign Affairs Columnist, Financial Times, United Kingdom

Moderated by
     – Chris Luebkeman, Director for Global Foresight and Innovation, Arup, USA


Work in Groups I

11:15-12:00

How will we meet the demand for transporting 20 billion tons of cargo annually – doubling from current volumes – by 2030? Working in groups of 8-10 persons, participants will address the following challenges:

Meeting the Transportation Infrastructure Needs of the Future
Global investment needs in port and connected infrastructure will grow strongly in the coming years to enable sustained economic growth. How can all stakeholders work together to address this challenge?
         Discussion Leaders
         – Karl Socikwa, Chief Executive, Transnet Port Terminals, South Africa
         – Rebecca Dye, Commissioner, Federal Maritime Commission, USA

Unlocking Growth in Africa
African economies are expected to see significant growth and transformation in the coming decades – transport volumes are estimated to increase up to eightfold by 2040. What challenges and opportunities does this present for emerging African economies? How can the maritime industry support growth that broadens prosperity and is sustainable in the long term
          Discussion Leaders
          – Bisey Uirab, Chief Executive Officer, Namports, Namibia
          – Kofi Mbiah, Chief Executive, Ghana Shipper’s Council, Ghana

Financing Growth in the Maritime Industry
The financial crisis has led to a substantial restructuring of the ship finance system. Can the market provide enough capital to finance future investments? What are the long term consequences of the current developments in ship finance?
          Discussion Leaders
          – Ralf Nagel, Chief Executive Officer, German Shipowners’ Association, German
          – Peter Stokes, Director, Lazard, United Kingdom
          – Michael Parker, Managing Director, Global Head of Shipping, Citigroup, United Kingdom

Workforce of the Future
Ensuring a steady supply of competent and well trained seafarers is vital for the industry. How should industry and policy makers respond to the increasing international lack of educated seafarers and how can seafarers be equipped to enter the workforce of the future?
         Discussion Leaders
         – Gerardo A. Borromeo, Vice-Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Philippine Transmarine Carriers,                 Philippines
         – Peter Swift, Director, Ardmore Shipping, United Kingdom
         – Douwe Cunningham, Secretary General, SEA Europe, Belgium
         – Bob Bishop, Managing Director, V.Ships, United Kingdom

Leveraging new technologies and innovation
Innovation and new technologies are key elements in improving efficiency and increasing human prosperity. However, all too often implementation of new technologies is slow and limited. How do we take advantage of technological developments to unleash the full potential of maritime innovation?
         Discussion Leaders
         – Takeshi Nakazawa, Secretary, International Association of Maritime Universities, Japan
         – Bo Cerup Simonsen, Director, Center for Oil and Gas, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

Sustainable Growth
Increasing environmental concerns as well as rising fuel prices has put pressure on an already strained industry. How can sustainable growth be an economically viable response to environmental degradation, climate change, biodiversity loss and threats to human health?
         Discussion Leader
         – John Denholm, Group Chairman and Chief Executive, J&J Denholm


Deep Dives

12:15-13:30

The purpose of the Deep Dives is to inform and inspire further discussions on the key challenges facing the maritime industry. There will be two rounds of Deep Dives of 30 minutes each. Working groups are encouraged to cover as many topics as possible.

Deep Dive on the Global Economy
with Torsten Sløk, Director, Global Economics, Deutsche Bank, USA Deep

Dive on Arctic Shipping
with Dilek Ayhan, State Secretary, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Fisheries, Norway
and Olof Lindén, Director of Research and Professor, World Maritime University, Sweden

Deep Dive on the Economic Outlook for Asia
with Simon Baptist, Chief Economist and Asia Regional Director, Economist Intelligence Unit, United Kingdom

Deep Dive on Accountability in International Transport
with Martin Lidegaard, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Denmark
and Peder Michael Pruzan-Jørgensen, Vice President, Europe, Middle East and Africa, BSR, Denmark

Deep Dive on Energy
with Michael A. Levi, Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment, Council on Foreign Relations, USA

Deep Dive on Accelerating Deployment of Clean Technologies
with Peter Boyd, Chief Operating Officer, Carbon War Room, USA

Deep Dive on the Maritime Industry from a Chinese Perspective
with Hongyin Li, Deputy Director General, Division of International Shipping, Bureau of Water Transport, Ministry of Transport, People’s Republic of China

Deep Dive on Quality in Shipping
with Peter Appel, Managing Partner, Gorissen Federspiel, Denmark

Deep Dive on the Future of Global Trade
with Beatriz Leycegui Gardoqui, Partner, SAI Law & Economics, Mexico

Deep Dive on Financing Infrastructure Projects
with Alexander Jan, Director, Transaction Advice, Arup


Lunch

13:30-14:45


Work in Groups II

14:45-15:30

Working groups continued. What are the key long term challenges and opportunities for the maritime industry?


Scenarios for the Future

15:45-16:45

What does the global maritime industry look like in 2030? Based on two scenarios for the future of the maritime industry, participants identify the most significant barriers that stand in the way of unleashing the full potential of the industry and how they may be overcome.


Keynote

17:00-17:30

Keynote address by
     – Nils Smedegaard Andersen, Chief Executive Officer, A.P. Møller-Mærsk


Thursday 9 October


Standing introduction

09:00-09:15

Recap of the first day and setting objectives for the work ahead.

Moderated by
     – Chris Luebkeman, Director for Global Foresight and Innovation, Arup, USA


Work in Groups III

09:30-10:15

Working groups continued. What solutions can we develop to unleash the full potential of the maritime industry?


Scouting

10:15-11:00

Working groups continued. What is the impact of our work on other working groups?


Work in Groups IV

11:00-11:45

Working groups continued. Finalizing solutions.


Fireside Chats

12:00-13:00

Join a Fireside Chat to discuss your vision and personal reflections on the future of the maritime industry in an informal setting.

When business runs in the family
How do family-owned and controlled companies in the maritime industry navigate challenges and opportunities on their path to achieving sustainable long-term growth?
         – Andreas Sohmen-Pao, Group Chief Executive Officer, BW Group, Singapore

What keeps you up at night?
What are the big questions and uncertainties that keep you awake at night?
         – Jose Maria Figueres, President, Carbon War Room, USA

Does the maritime industry owe anything to the world?
The maritime industry is fundamental to trade and globalization and hence an essential part of our future wealth and human welfare. Is the industry living up to its responsibilities?
         – Martin Stopford, President, Clarksons Research Services, United Kingdom

Is Europe a tired old man?
Harder hit by the financial crisis than most other economies, Europe is facing seemingly insurmountable challenges. A “perfect storm” of ageing, high debt and low growth in addition to lower productivity, lower employment rates and lower investment in innovation look set to undermine its future prospects. Can Europe overcome these challenges to regain its influence on the global stage?
         – Elisabeth Waelbroek-Rocha, Chief International Economist, IHS, France

Human factor or high degrees: Which brings the most value?
What matters most in your business: Selecting leaders with the “right stuff” or good leadership development? Leadership experts weigh in.
        – Jan N. Lauridsen, Partner, Heidrick & Struggles, Singapore

When things don’t go as planned
Even the proverbial best laid plans often go awry. This is particularly true in an industry facing many uncertainties. What is the key to building a resilient business in this context?
         – Albert C. Stein, Managing Director, Alix Partners, United Kingdom


Lunch

13:00-14:00


Closing plenary: Unleashing the Potential of the Global Maritime Industry

14:00-15:30

Presentation of the working group outcomes. What are the most promising ideas – opportunities for collaboration, new business opportunities and policy recommendations – to take forward?

Panelists
     – Jose Maria Figueres, President, Carbon War Room, USA
     – Esben Poulsson, Chairman, AVRA International, Singapore
     – Andreas Sohmen-Pao, Chief Executive Officer, BW Group, Singapore
     – Henrik O. Madsen, Group President and Chief Executive Officer, DNV GL, Norway

Moderated by
     – Chris Luebkeman, Director for Global Foresight and Innovation, Arup, USA

Closing remarks by
     – Koji Sekimizu, Secretary General, International Maritime Organisation


Reception

15:30-16:30

Please note that the programme for the Danish Maritime Forum is still in development and as such is subject to change.